UK needs fast trains not a third Heathrow runway

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UK needs fast trains not a third Heathrow runway

By Theresa Villiers
Published: October 29 2008 19:51 | Last updated: October 29 2008 19:51

The Conservative party’s decision to come out against a third runway at Heathrow was always going to be controversial. For David Cameron to be the man to put the brakes on Heathrow’s relentless expansion marks a remarkable change, both in the political climate and in the Conservative party.

The extra 222,000 flights a year that would come with a third runway – a 46 per cent increase on current levels – would make it much more difficult to meet the demanding targets our nation has set itself for reducing carbon emissions; but the environmental concerns are not confined to climate change. The lives of thousands of people would be blighted by increased aircraft noise and pollution. The Environment Agency has warned of the risk of “increased morbidity and mortality” if a third runway goes ahead.
So we have repeatedly argued that instead of pushing blindly ahead with a third runway, the government should consider alternative ways to deal with the capacity constraints at Heathrow.
I believe that in proposing a new high-speed rail line connecting Heathrow terminals directly with Birmingham, Manchester, Leeds and the Channel tunnel, we have found the solution. Our plan would relieve overcrowding problems and make Heathrow a much better airport, but without the negative consequences for the environment and for quality of life that would inevitably come with a third runway.
Not only would our proposal dramatically improve public transport access to Heathrow, but evidence from Europe shows high-speed rail provides an attractive alternative to competing flights. For example, Air France has abandoned flying between Paris and Brussels, preferring to charter carriages on Thalys high-speed trains instead. Figures published by BAA confirm there were about 63,200 flights between Heathrow and Manchester, Leeds, Brussels, Paris, Amsterdam and Rotterdam in 2007, all destinations where it is realistic for high-speed rail to replace flying. BAA’s own figures are thus consistent with our claim that high-speed rail has the potential to free landing slots equivalent to about a third of the 222,000-flight capacity of a third runway. This proportion is likely to rise significantly with improvements and additions to the high-speed network in the UK and the rest of Europe.
Furthermore, there is an increasingly widespread acknowledgement that the flight growth forecasts in the government’s 2003 aviation white paper should be revisited. The white paper is no longer fit for purpose, drafted as it was in different economic circumstances and before the urgent need to tackle environmental concerns had forced its way up the political agenda.
Eurostar tells us its high-speed trains emit just a tenth of the carbon of competing aviation. Even with a higher-carbon electricity generation mix than Eurostar uses, high-speed trains are far greener than aircraft. And the government’s decision this week to include emissions from aviation in its carbon reduction targets, a decision we support, makes the green case against the third runway even stronger.
Our high-speed link would also boost jobs in the Midlands and the north and help to remedy long-standing imbalances in our economy that have seen more and more pressure piled on the south-east, with the north left at an economic disadvantage and starved of the transport improvements it needs.
Our proposals would take some years to deliver – but so would a third runway. Quite apart from the huge controversy that the planning process would attract, a legal challenge under European Union air quality rules could tie the project up for years. Moreover, the government acknowledges that the usage of a third runway would have to be capped until 2030 anyway; even with its optimistic assumptions, it admits there is no prospect, before then, that technology will deliver the much cleaner, quieter aircraft needed to reconcile an increase to 702,000 flights with the promises Labour has made on pollution and noise around the airport.
The business case for the new rail link we propose is strong. There is an industry consensus that the west coast main line will be full to bursting within a decade, necessitating construction of a new line anyway. It would be a huge lost opportunity not to seize this moment to address three problems – the north/south divide, chronic rail overcrowding and Heathrow – with a single scheme: a scheme, moreover, that we hope will be the foundation of a countrywide high-speed rail network that would transform the UK’s transport infrastructure and radically improve our economic competitiveness.

The writer is shadow transport secretary

Copyright The Financial Times Limited 2008
 
Purtroppo per loro i Britannici devono sopportare anche l' ambientalismo di destra.
Innegabile l' utilità del treno AV, ma non c' entra niente con la terza pista a LHR.

I concorrenti di BA ringraziano
 
Brown vows full consideration of Heathrow plan

By Andrew Woodcock, PA
Wednesday, 29 October 2008

A final decision on a third runway for Heathrow will be taken only after full consideration of the environmental implications, Prime Minister Gordon Brown told MPs today.

His comments will fuel speculation that official enthusiasm for the scheme may be waning, after Labour MP John Grogan claimed yesterday that ministers had encouraged him to table a parliamentary motion calling for it to be ditched.

This morning, Mr Brown's spokesman told reporters that it was "right" for ministers to pass on any concerns their constituents may have about the project.

Some 78 MPs, including 28 Labour backbenchers, have so far signed Mr Grogan's early-day motion urging the Government to rethink its plans for a third runway and to give full consideration to alternative solutions, such as high-speed rail links.

Challenged on the scheme at Prime Minister's Questions in the House of Commons today, Mr Brown said: "We said as a Government that we supported in principle a third runway. After all there are five runways in Amsterdam, five runways in Paris four in Frankfurt and we are talking about a third runway at Heathrow.

"But we said that we would look at all the environmental considerations and that is what we are doing at the moment and we will come back to the House in due course."

Asked this morning what the PM thought of ministers apparently getting cold feet about the third runway, Mr Brown's spokesman said: "Clearly there are a number of ministers who have constituencies that are affected by the expansion of Heathrow. Of course it is right that they should express and pass on views expressed by their constituents."

The spokesman insisted that the Government has not changed its position that it supports a third runway "subject to being confident it will meet strict local and environmental conditions".

Mr Grogan last night predicted that the runway, which faces intense opposition from environmentalists and residents of west London, could become the latest Government policy to be shelved.

"I have spoken to senior ministers about this and their minds are very much focused on the economy at the moment," he said.

"The momentum in the Government is about the immediate future of the economy and issues like 42 days and school testing... it's amazing what has already been jettisoned.

"Some ministers I've spoken to would say that this is also a distraction."

Other issues which may influence Government thinking include the need to retain marginal seats in west London at the next general election, Mr Grogan said.

He added that there were also "wider environmental questions" to be considered following the Government's agreement to include international aviation in its 80% target for cuts in greenhouse gas emissions.

The Tories, whose shadow transport secretary Theresa Villiers is among the signatories of Mr Grogan's motion, have promised to scrap the additional runway plans.

They want to build a £20bn high-speed rail line between London and Leeds instead.

The Independent
 
Il punto è che la terza pista serve agli aerei provenienti da tutto il mondo, non solo dalle destinazioni nazionali + CDG/BRU/AMS, raggiungibili con treni AV...
 
MPs revolt over third Heathrow runway

Expansion scheme faces opposition within cabinet
• Figures show significant drop in flights this winter
  • Dan Milmo and Patrick Wintour
  • The Guardian,Monday November 3 2008
The case for building a third runway at Heathrow has been challenged by figures showing a significant fall in flights this winter as cabinet ministers join a Labour revolt against expanding the airport.
The number of flights to and from Heathrow will fall by 1.9% this winter compared with the same period last year, according to figures obtained by the Guardian. The reduction, equivalent to 25 fewer flights a day, was pounced on by anti-expansion campaigners, who said it undermined one of the key arguments for a third runway: that the airport is too congested.
"It means a third runway is a bit of a gamble for [Heathrow owner] BAA. The government's aviation policy was drawn up in 2003 when aviation was expanding and the economy was booming. We are now in a different world," said John Stewart, chairman of the Hacan campaign group.
According to the aviation white paper, a third runway is needed because the number of air passengers using UK airports will double to at least 460 million by 2030. A new runway would take Heathrow's capacity from 480,000 flights a year to 702,000. The overall economic benefit to the UK of expansion is put at £5bn, with tens of thousands of jobs at stake.
However, figures from the company in charge of coordinating takeoff and landing slots at Heathrow show that the schedule will reduce by 1.9% between October and March next year, due to high fuel costs and dwindling passenger demand. "This is a reflection of the high fuel prices and weakening economy leading to airlines making tactical flight cancellations," said James Cole, of Airport Coordination Ltd.
BAA said the long-term growth forecasts for aviation in the UK showed a different trend. "History very clearly demonstrates that aviation recovers well from short-term events such as this economic downturn," said a BAA spokesman.
It is also understood that a number of cabinet ministers believe agreeing to a third runway would damage the government's green credentials and cost marginal seats in the south-east. They believe ministers need to re-examine the issue in the light of the government's new commitment to cut carbon emissions by 80% by 2050, including emissions from aviation.
The scale of the revolt spreading across the parliamentary party prompted Gordon Brown to meet Labour MPs to discuss the issue last week and agree to hold a further meeting with them this week.
The transport secretary, Geoff Hoon, is due to make a decision next month on whether Heathrow expansion, including a sixth terminal, should go ahead, with ministers committed to the idea in principle since a white paper in 2003.
But Brown is now coming under surprisingly strong last-minute pressure to rethink his strategy by at least putting the decision on hold until after a 2010 election, possibly by proposing the government put the issue into a new national planning statement on aviation and rail.
MPs opposed to the expansion of Heathrow are reporting that they are receiving degrees of private support for their stance from Hilary Benn, the environment, food and rural affairs secretary, Ed Miliband, the new energy and climate secretary, Harriet Harman, the leader of the house, and the foreign secretary, David Miliband. Support is also coming from ministers of state.
One MP said he had spoken to three minsters who had encouraged him to think the issue needed to be re-examined.
Andy Slaughter, the MP for Ealing Acton and one of the group who met Brown last week, said: "This issue is coming to a head and in the past few weeks there are signs of a change in mood. This is a vote- changing issue for the electorate, and with the Tories and the Liberals Democrats opposed to expansion, marginal seats will be lost unless the policy is rethought.
"There has been a sense in which the government went to sleep over the issue after the aviation white paper in 2003, and yet so much has changed since then, including our policy on climate change.
"More than one million people will be affected by this decision and now is the time to look at it afresh."
So far, 41 Labour MPs from across the country have put their names to a parliamentary early day motion tabled by John Grogan, MP for Selby in North Yorkshire, calling on the government to rethink the third runway and instead start a consultation on a new national planning policy statement on airports and high-speed rail.
John McDonnell, the MP for Hayes and Harlington, said 10 to 20 Labour seats across the south-east were at risk. "If this gets the go-ahead, the government's increasingly deserved green credentials will be severely damaged."
 
The planet is the big loser in Brown's economic assault

Labour looks set to let airports expand in the name of fighting recession. And the new climate secretary is silent

Can we add the environment to the roll call of casualties of recession? There is a nail-biting tussle going on at the centre of government about the planned expansion of both Heathrow and Stansted airports, and all the signs are that No 10 remains on the wrong side of the argument. Get ready for this: "In these difficult times it is - hrrumph - all the more important to listen to business and - hrrumph - invest for the future."
The prime case against another runway at Heathrow, and a major expansion at Stansted, remains stark. If you take climate change seriously then you can't go along with a philosophy of constant and continuing expansion of air travel. While it's true that carbon emissions from air travel are only around 6.3% of the UK's total, this is likely to soar. Listen to this: "Forecasts suggest that emissions from flying could make up between 10 and 16% of the UK's contribution to climate change by 2020, if no action is taken to lessen the environmental impacts." Alarmist Guardian nonsense? Er, no, actually, it comes from the government's own website.
Yet when it comes to a choice between general principle and the sharp pointed edge of a business lobbying campaign, things don't work out that way. Heathrow has atrocious road links back into London. Most of the year, most times of the day, they seem to be snarled up and crawling. Its jets roar over densely populated areas every 30 seconds at some periods, with a level of noise pollution that is becoming intolerable, particularly for the lower income housing nearest the airport.
When T5 was being lobbied for, everyone was promised this was not a prelude to a third runway, and when the inquiry into the runway took place, we were assured it was a genuinely open one, and that all options were on the table. Now the government faces a backbench revolt, the mask slips. Briefings over the past few days suggest that Gordon Brown and Geoff Hoon, the transport secretary, will ride roughshod over the critics. They want to push through approval of the new runway so that when the Tories come to power, it's too late to cancel. "We have to show that we are on the side of business," says one minister.
The story with Stansted is similar. Here BAA wants to double the number of flights to almost half a million a year, adding 40 million passengers. The expansion plan would destroy numerous listed buildings and two ancient monuments, and gobble up three square miles of countryside. As with Heathrow, the impatience of ministers is palpable. The planning inspector was told his report was wanted by Christmas, which is considerably earlier than it would normally be, and the public inquiry is being accelerated so the go-ahead can be given before the general election.
The Conservatives are for now on the other side of the argument. They have said they would refuse permission for the Stansted expansion and are hostile to the third Heathrow runway, suggesting a new high-speed rail link to the north and Midlands instead. Separately, the London mayor, Boris Johnson, has revived the idea of a new airport to the east of the city, at the Isle of Sheppey in Kent.
There is no doubt that the expansion plans for both airports are hugely unpopular in the areas affected by their flightpaths. A swath of Labour ministers and MPs can expect to lose their seats if Heathrow's third runway is given the go-ahead. Tory opposition doesn't just fit with their proclaimed green agenda, but makes good sense politically. Which raises the obvious question: what in the world is No 10 up to?
The most cynical explanation, which I have heard buzzing around in the past few days, is simply that ministers who know they have lost the next election are cosying up to the business interests that may help them out in the private sector afterwards. New Labour has close links with BAA, and the big-business lobby for Heathrow may still be in a position to offer cushy jobs, recession or not. Loth as I am to admit there might be a shred of truth in that, it wouldn't be the first time favours done in government have been repaid afterwards.
Gordon Brown is not that kind of character. More likely, but just as dangerous, is that he believes this is clever politics. He thinks that in a recession, the party which seems most pro-business will gain. As deep fear grips the electorate over unemployment and bankruptcy, green arguments about the way we live, about pollution and climate change, will seem merely namby-pamby and irrelevant. If Labour commits itself to job-creating grand projects, and the Tories are forced to promise to try to halt them, then it is David Cameron who will suddenly look silly and old-fashioned.
But how does that fit with rushing through the decisions before the election? Surely, if Brown thinks expanding Heathrow and Stansted will be popular, and opposing it will lose Cameron votes in bleak times, he should want the choice left as clear and open as possible when the election comes. Why the rush? Why the first signs of a dirty tricks campaign aimed at John Grogan, the Labour backbencher leading the revolt? Why not let the inquiries play out in their own good time? After all, with airlines going bust all over the place, and the pound weak, we hardly need much busier skies tomorrow.
I fear what has happened is this. Brown, as a classic Labour man, was never keen on the environmental arguments. Hearing Cameron chirrup on about voting blue and going green merely stoked his contempt. He doesn't much care about a clutch of ministers and MPs whose seats will be lost if Heathrow expands; he's more interested in a national argument about priorities. Heathrow and Stansted have become willing conscripts for his assault on the recession. And if it all goes wrong, the Tories will be left to pick up the pieces.
Is this not the politics of despair? To write off seats as lost before the election happens; to ditch the single most important long-term argument about the way we live? And to plan to attack the Tories for the only distinctively progressive policy they have had is hardly the strategy of a self-confident administration. The cabinet itself, like the parliamentary Labour party, is still divided. But the minister from whom we haven't yet heard a cheep is the new energy and climate change secretary Ed Miliband.
He's been spoken of as a future leader. He is often at the PM's side. Yet he is said not yet to be "fully briefed" about the arguments and is therefore not ready to comment. Well, if your grand new cabinet title means a thing, and you're really made of the right stuff - now, Ed, is the time for an ear-splitting cheep.
 
The number of flights to and from Heathrow will fall by 1.9% this winter compared with the same period last year, according to figures obtained by the Guardian. The reduction, equivalent to 25 fewer flights a day, was pounced on by anti-expansion campaigners, who said it undermined one of the key arguments for a third runway: that the airport is too congested.
It is also understood that a number of cabinet ministers believe agreeing to a third runway would damage the government's green credentials and cost marginal seats in the south-east. They believe ministers need to re-examine the issue in the light of the government's new commitment to cut carbon emissions by 80% by 2050, including emissions from aviation.
But Brown is now coming under surprisingly strong last-minute pressure to rethink his strategy by at least putting the decision on hold until after a 2010 election, possibly by proposing the government put the issue into a new national planning statement on aviation and rail.
MPs opposed to the expansion of Heathrow are reporting that they are receiving degrees of private support for their stance from Hilary Benn, the environment, food and rural affairs secretary, Ed Miliband, the new energy and climate secretary, Harriet Harman, the leader of the house, and the foreign secretary, David Miliband. Support is also coming from ministers of state.
One MP said he had spoken to three minsters who had encouraged him to think the issue needed to be re-examined.
Un approccio al problema "italiano", ci sono analogie con le balle e l'indecisione politica che portarono all'accantonamento del decreto Burlando.
 
La differenza è che a Londra il city airport LHR "rompe", perché è in un' area troppo urbanizzata. Polemiche anche per la seconda pista a Stansted che disturba come da noi un tempo i comuni "vittima di Malpensa 2000".
 
Il punto è che la terza pista serve agli aerei provenienti da tutto il mondo, non solo dalle destinazioni nazionali + CDG/BRU/AMS, raggiungibili con treni AV...

L'idea é che se elimini i voli domestici spostando il traffico su rotaia, si liberano parecchi slot da dedicare a voli a lungo raggio.
Il ragionamento di per sé non é del tutto sbagliato: é ridicolo che ci siano qualcosa come 27 voli al giorno tra Londra e Manchester... Sarebbe come se ci fossero 27 voli al giorno tra Milano e Firenze: la distanza é la stessa, e loro non hanno nemmeno le montagne in mezzo.
Solo che dovresti avere una stazione del treno ad alta velocitá ad Heathrow per consentire le connessioni intermodali, e la costruzione di una rete ferroviaria di quel tipo richiederebbe molti anni e moltissimi soldi.
Non credo sia una soluzione attuabile nel medio periodo, ma é positivo che si cominci a guardare alle ferrovie come una soluzione al problema trasporti nel Regno Unito, e che il largo impiego di fondi statali per la realizzazione dell'opera non venga visto come un tabú